David Njoku Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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David Njoku

NFL · Player Props

David Njoku

TE · Cleveland Browns

Receiving Yards

Buffalo Bills vs Cleveland Browns · Week 11, 2022

Updated Nov 21, 2022 12:21 AM UTC

Analysis

David Njoku Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Browns are a 3-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects David Njoku to accumulate 5.6 targets this week, on average, ranking in the 87th percentile among tight ends.
The Cleveland Browns offensive line ranks as the 4th-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.
The Cleveland Browns offensive line has given their QB 2.54 seconds before getting pressured (8th-best in football since the start of last season), which has a strong impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the 4th-least pass-oriented offense in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 56.3% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns offense to be the 8th-slowest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 29.10 seconds per play.
The Buffalo Bills defense has conceded the 7th-least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 39.0) to tight ends this year.
The Buffalo Bills pass defense has shown good efficiency vs. tight ends this year, conceding 5.83 yards-per-target to the position: the 4th-least in the NFL.
The Buffalo Bills linebackers profile as the best unit in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

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