David Njoku Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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David Njoku

NFL · Player Props

David Njoku

TE · Cleveland Browns

Receiving Yards

Carolina Panthers vs Cleveland Browns · Week 1, 2022

Updated Sep 11, 2022 7:38 PM UTC

Analysis

David Njoku Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (-135/+103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 32.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 34.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cleveland Browns will be rolling with backup quarterback Jacoby Brissett this week, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects David Njoku to accumulate 4.9 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 84th percentile among tight ends.
David Njoku has totaled a colossal 31.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 85th percentile among TEs.
David Njoku's 26.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the best in the NFL: 77th percentile for TEs.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the 7th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 55.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns offense to be the 4th-worst paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 28.42 seconds per snap.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.8 pass attempts per game against the Carolina Panthers defense since the start of last season: 2nd-least in football.
The Carolina Panthers defense has yielded the 7th-least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 38.0) vs. TEs since the start of last season.
The Carolina Panthers pass defense has surrendered the 9th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (68.6%) to tight ends since the start of last season (68.6%).

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