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David Njoku

David Njoku Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Carolina Panthers vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
David Njoku Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (-135/+103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 32.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 34.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Cleveland Browns will be rolling with backup quarterback Jacoby Brissett this week, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
  • The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • THE BLITZ projects David Njoku to accumulate 4.9 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 84th percentile among tight ends.
  • David Njoku has totaled a colossal 31.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 85th percentile among TEs.
  • David Njoku's 26.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the best in the NFL: 77th percentile for TEs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the 7th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 55.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns offense to be the 4th-worst paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 28.42 seconds per snap.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.8 pass attempts per game against the Carolina Panthers defense since the start of last season: 2nd-least in football.
  • The Carolina Panthers defense has yielded the 7th-least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 38.0) vs. TEs since the start of last season.
  • The Carolina Panthers pass defense has surrendered the 9th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (68.6%) to tight ends since the start of last season (68.6%).

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