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David Montgomery Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 7

Detroit Lions vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

David Montgomery Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-136/+122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -136.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

David Montgomery is positioned as one of the most reliable receivers in the league among RBs, hauling in an impressive 100.0% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, ranking in the 100th percentile.

This year, the poor Buccaneers pass defense has conceded a colossal 88.6% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing RBs: the worst rate in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's line indicates a rushing game script for the Lions, who are favored by 6 points.

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Detroit Lions to pass on 57.1% of their plays: the 6th-lowest clip on the slate this week.

Our trusted projections expect the Lions to be the 6th-most run-centric offense in the NFL near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 47.1% red zone run rate.

The leading projections forecast this game to have the fewest plays run among all games this week at 124.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

While David Montgomery has earned 30.8% of his offense's red zone carries in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be much more involved in Detroit's ground game near the end zone in this game at 44.0%.

More David Montgomery Player Props

David Montgomery TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 7

Detroit Lions vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

David Montgomery Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 7