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David Montgomery Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 12

Detroit Lions vs New York Giants

David Montgomery Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-115/+112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +112.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Detroit Lions to run the 3rd-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.9 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.

The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.

David Montgomery ranks in the 75th percentile when it comes to running backs this year with a massive 0.2% of his offense's air yards accumulated.

The Giants defense has given up the 10th-most TDs through the air in the league to RBs: 0.27 per game this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

An extreme rushing game script is indicated by the Lions being an enormous 14-point favorite in this week's game.

The model projects the Detroit Lions as the 8th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 55.2% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The predictive model expects the Detroit Lions to be the 10th-most run-oriented team in football near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 46.4% red zone run rate.

When talking about pocket protection (and the ramifications it has on all passing attack stats), the offensive line of the Lions ranks as the 8th-worst in the league this year.

David Montgomery's 87.0% Adjusted Completion Rate this year reflects a remarkable decline in his receiving proficiency over last year's 97.8% mark.

More David Montgomery Player Props

David Montgomery TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 12

Detroit Lions vs New York Giants

David Montgomery Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 12