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David Montgomery

David Montgomery Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 11

Philadelphia Eagles vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
David Montgomery Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+194/-220).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -192 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -220.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Eagles defense has conceded the 3rd-most TDs through the air in football to running backs: 0.33 per game this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Right now, the 8th-most run-focused team in football near the end zone (46.5% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Detroit Lions.
  • The projections expect the Lions to run the 4th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.8 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • The forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
  • David Montgomery's 86.3% Adjusted Completion% this year illustrates a significant regression in his receiving proficiency over last year's 97.8% mark.
  • The receiving touchdown line reads "0" on David Montgomery's box scores this year.

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