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David Montgomery Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Detroit Lions vs Minnesota Vikings

David Montgomery Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 49.5 (-111/-107).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 49.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 49.5 @ -107.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Lions are a heavy 9.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.

The model projects the Detroit Lions as the 5th-most run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 45.4% run rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

David Montgomery's ground efficiency (4.92 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in the league this year (82nd percentile among RBs).

With an exceptional total of 3.40 yards after contact (79th percentile), David Montgomery stands among the most effective RBs in football this year.

Opposing squads have rushed for the 10th-most adjusted yards in the league (135 per game) vs. the Vikings defense this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the moment, the most sluggish paced offense in the league (in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Detroit Lions.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

David Montgomery has rushed for significantly fewer adjusted yards per game (48.0) this season than he did last season (62.0).

The Vikings defensive tackles grade out as the 6th-best collection of DTs in the NFL this year in regard to stopping the run.

More David Montgomery Player Props

David Montgomery Rushing YardsPlayer Prop Week 9

Detroit Lions vs Minnesota Vikings

David Montgomery Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 9