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David Montgomery

David Montgomery Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Detroit Lions vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
David Montgomery Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 42.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 45.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 42.5 @ +110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's line indicates a rushing game script for the Lions, who are favored by 6 points.
  • The predictive model expects the Detroit Lions to be the 4th-most run-focused team in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 41.9% run rate.
  • David Montgomery has earned 38.4% of his team's run game usage this year, placing him in the 77th percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • With an outstanding rate of 53.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (86th percentile), David Montgomery rates among the top running backs in football this year.
  • David Montgomery's 5.8 adjusted yards per carry this year signifies a meaningful progression in his running skills over last year's 4.7 rate.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast this game to have the fewest plays run among all games this week at 124.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Opposing squads have run for the 10th-fewest adjusted yards in the NFL (just 97.0 per game) versus the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this year.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers safeties project as the 9th-best group of safeties in football this year in regard to run defense.

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