My Account Log Out
 
 
David Montgomery

David Montgomery Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Kansas City Chiefs vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
David Montgomery Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 39.5 (-110/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 44.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 39.5 @ -118.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the moment, the 7th-most run-centric team in the league (41.5% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Detroit Lions.
  • David Montgomery has garnered 42.2% of his offense's rushing play calls this year, putting him in the 80th percentile among running backs.
  • David Montgomery's 5.7 adjusted yards per carry this season marks a meaningful progression in his running talent over last season's 4.7 mark.
  • David Montgomery profiles as one of the leading RBs in the NFL at picking up extra rushing yardage, averaging an excellent 3.79 yards-after-contact this year while checking in at the 85th percentile.
  • Since the start of last season, the poor Kansas City Chiefs run defense has surrendered a monstrous 4.29 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to the opposition's rushing attack: the 26th-worst rate in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the moment, the most sluggish paced offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Lions.
  • David Montgomery has rushed for quite a few less adjusted yards per game (50.0) this year than he did last year (62.0).

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™