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David Montgomery

David Montgomery Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Detroit Lions vs Cleveland Browns

David Montgomery Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 45.5 (+100/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 47.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 45.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Lions offensive gameplan to tilt 1.1% more towards rushing than it did last season (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator John Morton now calling the plays.

An extreme rushing game script is suggested by the Lions being a heavy 10-point favorite in this game.

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Lions to run on 45.2% of their downs: the 8th-highest clip among all teams this week.

The model projects the Detroit Lions to call the 9th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 64.8 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The 5th-most plays in the league have been run by the Detroit Lions since the start of last season (a staggering 59.3 per game on average).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

The Cleveland defensive ends project as the best group of DEs in football since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.

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