|
|
David Montgomery Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 42.5 (-110/-118).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 40.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 42.5 @ -110.
|
|
|
|
|
|
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
|
|
With a 6-point advantage, the Lions are favored in this week's contest, indicating more of an emphasis on rushing than their typical approach.With a 43.0% rate of rushing the ball (in a neutral context) this year, the 7th-most run-centric offense in the league has been the Detroit Lions.The Lions have run the 5th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a monstrous 59.7 plays per game.In this game, David Montgomery is expected by the projection model to slot into the 77th percentile among RBs with 13.0 carries.Out of all running backs, David Montgomery grades out in the 81st percentile for rush attempts since the start of last season, comprising 46.9% of the workload in his offense's run game.
|
|
|
|
|
|
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
|
|
The model projects this game to have the 11th-slowest pace on the slate this week, averaging 27.04 seconds per play accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.When it comes to the linebackers' role in defending against the run, Chicago's group of LBs has been exceptional since the start of last season, grading out as the 3rd-best in the league.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
