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David Montgomery Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 44.5 (-110/-118).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 40.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 44.5 @ -110.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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With a 6.5-point advantage, the Lions are favored in this week's contest, indicating more of an emphasis on rushing than their typical approach.With a 43.0% rate of rushing the ball (in a neutral context) this year, the 7th-most run-centric offense in the league has been the Detroit Lions.In this game, David Montgomery is expected by the projection model to slot into the 79th percentile among RBs with 13.1 carries.Out of all running backs, David Montgomery grades out in the 81st percentile for rush attempts since the start of last season, comprising 46.9% of the workload in his offense's run game.David Montgomery has grinded out 60.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the biggest figures in the NFL when it comes to running backs (84th percentile).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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At the present time, the 5th-slowest paced team in football (context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Detroit Lions.This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.When it comes to the linebackers' role in defending against the run, Chicago's group of LBs has been exceptional since the start of last season, grading out as the 3rd-best in the league.
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