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David Montgomery

David Montgomery Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 18

Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
David Montgomery Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 35.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 35.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects this game to have the 2nd-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 135.3 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
  • This year, the tough Bears run defense has conceded a meager 5.11 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposing run game: the 27th-lowest rate in the league.
  • The Chicago defensive tackles rank as the 4th-worst unit in football this year in regard to stopping the run.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • An extreme passing game script is indicated by the Lions being an enormous -10.5-point underdog this week.
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Lions to run on 39.7% of their downs: the 7th-lowest clip among all teams this week.
  • After comprising 46.5% of his offense's rushing play calls last season, David Montgomery has played a smaller part in the running game this season, now making up just 35.5%.
  • David Montgomery has run for many fewer adjusted yards per game (42.0) this season than he did last season (62.0).

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