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David Montgomery

David Montgomery Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Los Angeles Rams vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
David Montgomery Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 33.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 30.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the Detroit Lions to run the 5th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 67.8 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
  • David Montgomery's ground efficiency (4.90 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in football this year (85th percentile among RBs).
  • With an impressive rate of 3.23 yards after contact (76th percentile), David Montgomery rates among the most formidable running backs in the NFL this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Lions are a 5.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.
  • Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Detroit Lions to run on 38.2% of their plays: the 4th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • The forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and reduced rush volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • After accounting for 46.5% of his team's carries last season, David Montgomery has been called on less the run game this season, currently sitting at only 35.8%.
  • David Montgomery has run for significantly fewer adjusted yards per game (45.0) this season than he did last season (62.0).

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