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David Montgomery

David Montgomery Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Detroit Lions vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
David Montgomery Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 36.5 (-112/-112).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 3-point advantage, the Lions are favored this week, suggesting more of a focus on running than their standard game plan.
  • At the moment, the 9th-most run-focused team in the league (41.4% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Lions.
  • The leading projections forecast the Detroit Lions to call the 2nd-most total plays among all teams this week with 67.1 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • The Cowboys defense owns the 4th-worst efficiency against opposing running games this year, allowing 5.12 adjusted yards-per-carry.
  • As it relates to the linebackers' role in defending against the run, Dallas's LB corps has been terrible this year, profiling as the worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • After comprising 46.5% of his offense's rushing play calls last season, David Montgomery has played a smaller part in the rushing attack this season, currently sitting at just 36.2%.
  • David Montgomery has run for a lot fewer adjusted yards per game (44.0) this year than he did last year (62.0).

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