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David Montgomery

David Montgomery Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Washington Commanders vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
David Montgomery Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 48.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 48.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 48.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's spread indicates an extreme running game script for the Lions, who are overwhelmingly favored by 8 points.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Detroit Lions as the 5th-most run-centric team on the slate this week with a 46.8% run rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • Out of all RBs, David Montgomery ranks in the 76th percentile for carries this year, comprising 38.9% of the workload in his team's rushing attack.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the moment, the 3rd-slowest paced offense in football (context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Detroit Lions.
  • David Montgomery's 42.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this season marks a remarkable drop-off in his rushing prowess over last season's 62.0 mark.
  • The Washington defensive ends grade out as the 4th-best DE corps in football this year in regard to defending the run.

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