My Account Log Out
 
 
David Montgomery

David Montgomery Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Kansas City Chiefs vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
David Montgomery Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+139/-142).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +132 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +139.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • David Montgomery rates as one of the most sure-handed receivers in the NFL among RBs, hauling in a remarkable 100.0% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, checking in at the 100th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Detroit Lions to be the 7th-least pass-heavy offense in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 58.5% pass rate.
  • At the moment, the most sluggish paced offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Lions.
  • Opposing offenses teams have been afraid to rely on the passing game too much against the Chiefs, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 31.2 per game) this year.
  • When talking about pocket protection (and the impact it has on all passing attack statistics), the O-line of the Lions profiles as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year.
  • David Montgomery's 1.0 adjusted receptions per game this season shows a remarkable drop-off in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 2.6 mark.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™