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David Montgomery Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

Cincinnati Bengals vs Detroit Lions

David Montgomery Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+152/-196).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -188 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -196.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Opposing teams have averaged 39.2 pass attempts per game against the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year: 8th-most in the league.

David Montgomery rates as one of the most sure-handed receivers in the NFL when it comes to RBs, completing a remarkable 100.0% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, ranking in the 99th percentile.

The Bengals pass defense has been torched for the highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (91%) vs. RBs since the start of last season (91.0%).

When it comes to linebackers in defending receivers, Cincinnati's LB corps has been dreadful this year, projecting as the 8th-worst in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's line suggests an extreme running game script for the Lions, who are a massive favorite by 10 points.

Our trusted projections expect the Detroit Lions to be the 3rd-least pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 53.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 3rd-smallest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 125.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

David Montgomery's 1.2 adjusted receptions per game this season illustrates a noteable diminishment in his receiving ability over last season's 2.6 rate.

More David Montgomery Player Props

David Montgomery ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 5

Cincinnati Bengals vs Detroit Lions

David Montgomery Receptions
Player Prop Week 5