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David Montgomery

David Montgomery Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

Detroit Lions vs Chicago Bears

David Montgomery Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+180/-235).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -230 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -235.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

In this week's contest, David Montgomery is anticipated by the predictive model to land in the 77th percentile when it comes to RBs with 3.1 targets.

David Montgomery rates as one of the best running backs in the pass game since the start of last season, averaging an exceptional 2.7 adjusted receptions per game while checking in at the 84th percentile.

David Montgomery profiles as one of the best possession receivers in football among running backs, catching a stellar 98.1% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, checking in at the 100th percentile.

The Chicago Bears pass defense has surrendered the 10th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (85.7%) to running backs since the start of last season (85.7%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 6.5-point advantage, the Lions are favored in this week's contest, indicating more of an emphasis on rushing than their typical approach.

The model projects the Lions to be the 11th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 57.0% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

At the present time, the 5th-slowest paced team in football (context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Detroit Lions.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.9 pass attempts per game against the Bears defense since the start of last season: 6th-fewest in the league.

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