My Account Log Out
 
 
David Montgomery

David Montgomery Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Minnesota Vikings vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
David Montgomery Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+172/-227).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -227.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Lions are expected by the model to run 66.4 offensive plays in this contest: the 6th-highest number on the slate this week.
  • The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may slide.
  • The Minnesota Vikings linebackers profile as the 10th-worst collection of LBs in football this year in covering receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Lions are a 6-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 29.4 pass attempts per game versus the Vikings defense this year: 2nd-fewest in the NFL.
  • David Montgomery's 7.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been notably lower this year than it was last year at 12.9.
  • The Lions O-line profiles as the 9th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all air attack statistics across the board.
  • David Montgomery's receiving performance has declined this year, accumulating just 1.3 adjusted catches compared to 2.6 last year.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™