My Account Log Out
 
 
David Montgomery

David Montgomery Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Detroit Lions vs New York Giants

 
 
 
David Montgomery Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+130/-139).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -147 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -139.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects the Detroit Lions to run the 3rd-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.9 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
  • The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.
  • The Giants safeties profile as the 8th-worst unit in the league this year in pass coverage.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • An extreme rushing game script is indicated by the Lions being an enormous 14-point favorite in this week's game.
  • The model projects the Detroit Lions as the 8th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 55.2% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • When talking about pocket protection (and the ramifications it has on all passing attack stats), the offensive line of the Lions ranks as the 8th-worst in the league this year.
  • David Montgomery's receiving performance has tailed off this season, averaging a measly 1.3 adjusted catches vs 2.6 last season.
  • David Montgomery's 87.0% Adjusted Completion Rate this year reflects a remarkable decline in his receiving proficiency over last year's 97.8% mark.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™