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David Montgomery

David Montgomery Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Philadelphia Eagles vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
David Montgomery Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-160/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -160.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Eagles pass defense has yielded the 9th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (85.7%) versus running backs this year (85.7%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Lions rank as the 6th-least pass-centric team in football (adjusted for context) this year with a 57.8% pass rate.
  • The projections expect the Lions to run the 4th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.8 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • The forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
  • David Montgomery's receiving skills have declined this year, compiling a mere 1.4 adjusted catches vs 2.6 last year.
  • David Montgomery's 86.3% Adjusted Completion% this year illustrates a significant regression in his receiving proficiency over last year's 97.8% mark.

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