My Account Log Out
 
 
David Montgomery

David Montgomery Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Washington Commanders vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
David Montgomery Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-129/-104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +108 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -104.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • As it relates to linebackers in pass coverage, Washington's group of LBs has been atrocious this year, grading out as the 3rd-worst in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's spread indicates an extreme running game script for the Lions, who are overwhelmingly favored by 8 points.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Detroit Lions as the 5th-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 53.2% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • At the moment, the 3rd-slowest paced offense in football (context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Detroit Lions.
  • David Montgomery's receiving talent has worsened this year, compiling a mere 1.3 adjusted receptions vs 2.6 last year.
  • David Montgomery's 85.3% Adjusted Completion Rate this year represents a substantial diminishment in his pass-catching ability over last year's 97.8% mark.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™