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David Montgomery

David Montgomery Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions

David Montgomery Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+110/-140).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The 6th-most plays in the NFL have been called by the Lions last year (a staggering 59.6 per game on average).

Our trusted projections expect David Montgomery to accumulate 2.7 targets this week, on balance, ranking him in the 80th percentile when it comes to RBs.

David Montgomery comes in as one of the best RBs in the pass game last year, averaging a stellar 2.6 adjusted receptions per game while checking in at the 83rd percentile.

David Montgomery checks in as one of the most reliable receivers in the NFL when it comes to running backs, hauling in an impressive 97.9% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) last year, grading out in the 100th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-smallest number of plays run among all games this week at 125.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Detroit Lions have played in the most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL last year, which ought to result in reduced pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced pass game performance when facing windier conditions in this week's contest.

The Green Bay Packers safeties profile as the 2nd-best safety corps in the NFL last year in defending receivers.

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