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David Montgomery

David Montgomery Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Detroit Lions vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
David Montgomery Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • David Montgomery is positioned as one of the most reliable receivers in the league among RBs, hauling in an impressive 100.0% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, ranking in the 100th percentile.
  • With a remarkable 9.4 adjusted yards per target (95th percentile) this year, David Montgomery rates as one of the leading pass-catching running backs in the NFL.
  • This year, the poor Buccaneers pass defense has conceded a colossal 88.6% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing RBs: the worst rate in football.
  • This year, the porous Buccaneers defense has allowed the most adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing running backs: a massive 8.73 yards.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's line indicates a rushing game script for the Lions, who are favored by 6 points.
  • Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Detroit Lions to pass on 57.1% of their plays: the 6th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • The leading projections forecast this game to have the fewest plays run among all games this week at 124.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • When it comes to pass-blocking (and the importance it has on all passing attack stats), the offensive line of the Detroit Lions ranks as the worst in the league this year.
  • David Montgomery's 12.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this year indicates a meaningful decrease in his receiving proficiency over last year's 23.0 rate.

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