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David Montgomery

David Montgomery Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Kansas City Chiefs vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
David Montgomery Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-140/+107).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -140.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • When it comes to air yards, David Montgomery grades out in the towering 78th percentile among RBs this year, totaling an impressive 1.0 per game. (considering most of their targets come behind the line of scrimmage, this is far more noteworthy than it appears since most RBs average negative air yards).
  • David Montgomery rates as one of the most sure-handed receivers in the NFL among RBs, hauling in a remarkable 100.0% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, checking in at the 100th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Detroit Lions to be the 7th-least pass-heavy offense in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 58.5% pass rate.
  • At the moment, the most sluggish paced offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Lions.
  • Opposing offenses teams have been afraid to rely on the passing game too much against the Chiefs, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 31.2 per game) this year.
  • When talking about pocket protection (and the impact it has on all passing attack statistics), the O-line of the Lions profiles as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year.
  • David Montgomery has notched quite a few less adjusted receiving yards per game (6.0) this season than he did last season (23.0).

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