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David Montgomery

David Montgomery Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Detroit Lions vs Chicago Bears

David Montgomery Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-112/-112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -112.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

In this week's contest, David Montgomery is anticipated by the predictive model to land in the 77th percentile when it comes to RBs with 3.1 targets.

David Montgomery profiles as one of the top RB receiving threats since the start of last season, averaging a fantastic 23.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 88th percentile.

David Montgomery profiles as one of the best possession receivers in football among running backs, catching a stellar 98.1% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, checking in at the 100th percentile.

David Montgomery is positioned as one of the most efficient pass-catchers in the league among running backs, averaging an outstanding 8.44 adjusted yards-per-target since the start of last season while grading out in the 92nd percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 6.5-point advantage, the Lions are favored in this week's contest, indicating more of an emphasis on rushing than their typical approach.

The model projects the Lions to be the 11th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 57.0% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

At the present time, the 5th-slowest paced team in football (context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Detroit Lions.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.9 pass attempts per game against the Bears defense since the start of last season: 6th-fewest in the league.

With a bad 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (3rd percentile) since the start of last season, David Montgomery places among the leading pass-game running backs in football in picking up extra yardage.

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