My Account Log Out
 
 
David Montgomery

David Montgomery Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
David Montgomery Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-116/+109).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -116.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Lions to pass on 60.8% of their downs: the 7th-highest rate among all teams this week.
  • The leading projections forecast the Lions to call the 5th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.2 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may fall-off.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 35.9 pass attempts per game versus the Packers defense this year: 9th-most in football.
  • The Packers pass defense has surrendered the 10th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (84.3%) to RBs this year (84.3%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 3-point advantage, the Lions are favored in this week's contest, implying more of a focus on running than their normal game plan.
  • David Montgomery has posted many fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (11.0) this season than he did last season (23.0).
  • David Montgomery's receiving reliability have diminished this year, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 97.8% to 89.1%.
  • David Montgomery's 6.9 adjusted yards per target this year shows an impressive reduction in his pass-catching skills over last year's 8.8 figure.
  • David Montgomery's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year marks a noteworthy reduction in his effectiveness in space over last year's 10.1% mark.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™