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David Montgomery

David Montgomery Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Washington Commanders vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
David Montgomery Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • David Montgomery has garnered a staggering 0.3% of his team's air yards this year: 76th percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • This year, the porous Washington Commanders defense has yielded a staggering 40.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing running backs: the 4th-most in football.
  • The Commanders pass defense has displayed weak efficiency versus RBs this year, surrendering 8.55 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 3rd-most in the NFL.
  • As it relates to linebackers in pass coverage, Washington's group of LBs has been atrocious this year, grading out as the 3rd-worst in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's spread indicates an extreme running game script for the Lions, who are overwhelmingly favored by 8 points.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Detroit Lions as the 5th-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 53.2% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • At the moment, the 3rd-slowest paced offense in football (context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Detroit Lions.
  • David Montgomery's 11.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this year illustrates a substantial reduction in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 23.0 figure.
  • David Montgomery's 85.3% Adjusted Completion Rate this year represents a substantial diminishment in his pass-catching ability over last year's 97.8% mark.

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