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David Montgomery

David Montgomery Carries
Player Prop Week 9

Detroit Lions vs Minnesota Vikings

 
 
 
David Montgomery Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-150/+120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ +125 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ +120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Lions are a heavy 9.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
  • The model projects the Detroit Lions as the 5th-most run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 45.4% run rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the moment, the most sluggish paced offense in the league (in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Detroit Lions.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • The Vikings defensive tackles grade out as the 6th-best collection of DTs in the NFL this year in regard to stopping the run.

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