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David Montgomery

David Montgomery Carries
Player Prop Week 17

Minnesota Vikings vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
David Montgomery Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-130/+100).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Lions are a 6-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.
  • Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Lions are expected by the model to run 68.0 offensive plays in this contest: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Lions to run on 41.9% of their chances: the 11th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
  • The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may slide.
  • After comprising 46.5% of his team's carries last year, David Montgomery has been less involved in the rushing attack this year, currently comprising just 35.7%.
  • As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in run defense, Minnesota's DT corps has been exceptional this year, projecting as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

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