My Account Log Out
 
 
David Montgomery

David Montgomery Carries
Player Prop Week 15

Los Angeles Rams vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
David Montgomery Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-100/-121).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -139 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -121.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the Detroit Lions to run the 5th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 67.8 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Lions are a 5.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.
  • Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Detroit Lions to run on 38.2% of their plays: the 4th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • The forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and reduced rush volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • After accounting for 46.5% of his team's carries last season, David Montgomery has been called on less the run game this season, currently sitting at only 35.8%.
  • As it relates to the safeties' role in defending against the run, Los Angeles's collection of safeties has been fantastic this year, projecting as the 3rd-best in the NFL.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™