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David Montgomery

David Montgomery Carries
Player Prop Week 11

Philadelphia Eagles vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
David Montgomery Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ +135 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ +110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 42.2% rate of rushing the ball (context-neutralized) this year, the 6th-most run-heavy team in football has been the Lions.
  • The forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
  • David Montgomery has garnered 38.8% of his team's run game usage this year, putting him in the 76th percentile among RBs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Lions to run the 4th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.8 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • The Philadelphia defensive tackles rank as the 3rd-best DT corps in the NFL this year in regard to stopping the run.

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