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David Montgomery

David Montgomery Carries
Player Prop Week 10

Washington Commanders vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
David Montgomery Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-150/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ +115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's spread indicates an extreme running game script for the Lions, who are overwhelmingly favored by 8 points.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Detroit Lions as the 5th-most run-centric team on the slate this week with a 46.8% run rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • Out of all RBs, David Montgomery ranks in the 76th percentile for carries this year, comprising 38.9% of the workload in his team's rushing attack.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the moment, the 3rd-slowest paced offense in football (context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Detroit Lions.
  • The Washington defensive ends grade out as the 4th-best DE corps in football this year in regard to defending the run.

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