My Account Log Out

reorder

David Montgomery

David Montgomery Carries
Player Prop Week 1

Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions

David Montgomery Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-127/+107).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -127.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The 6th-most plays in the NFL have been called by the Lions last year (a staggering 59.6 per game on average).

The Detroit Lions have played in the most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL last year, which ought to result in reduced pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced pass game performance when facing windier conditions in this week's contest.

The model projects David Montgomery to accumulate 10.8 carries in this contest, on balance, putting him in the 77th percentile when it comes to RBs.

Among all running backs, David Montgomery grades out in the 80th percentile for rush attempts last year, taking on 45.7% of the workload in his offense's rushing attack.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Detroit Lions to run on 41.0% of their downs: the 10th-lowest clip among all teams this week.

The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-smallest number of plays run among all games this week at 125.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Green Bay Packers defensive ends rank as the 8th-best DE corps in the league last year in regard to run defense.

More David Montgomery Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™