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David Bell

David Bell Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Cleveland Browns vs New York Jets

 
 
 
David Bell Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-113/-113).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the moment, the 6th-most pass-centric offense in the NFL (64.1% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Browns.
  • The leading projections forecast this game to have the highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 136.1 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Browns have run the most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 65.9 plays per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 7-point advantage, the Browns are a massive favorite this week, indicating much more of a reliance on rushing than their usual approach.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 32.7 pass attempts per game versus the Jets defense this year: 6th-fewest in the NFL.
  • David Bell has been less involved as a potential target this year (14.0% Route Participation Rate in games he has played) than he did last year (51.2%).
  • David Bell checks in as one of the weakest WRs in the league this year, averaging just 1.2 adjusted receptions per game while checking in at the 16th percentile among WRs.
  • David Bell's receiving reliability have declined this season, with his Adjusted Completion% falling off from 75.6% to 56.1%.

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