David Bell Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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NFL · Player Props

David Bell

WR · Cleveland Browns

Receiving Yards

Washington Commanders vs Cleveland Browns · Week 17, 2022

Updated Jan 1, 2023 9:01 PM EST

Analysis

David Bell Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (+102/-124).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -124.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns to be the 3rd-fastest paced defense in football (in a neutral context) at the present time, causing opposing offenses to average 27.41 seconds per snap.
The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
The Cleveland Browns O-line profiles as the 4th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all pass attack stats across the board.
David Bell has been among the best possession receivers in football, hauling in a terrific 77.9% of balls thrown his way this year, ranking in the 87th percentile among wideouts.
The Washington Commanders pass defense has shown poor efficiency versus wideouts this year, conceding 8.79 yards-per-target to the position: the 9th-most in the league.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns to be the 9th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 53.2% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing QBs have averaged 31.7 pass attempts per game against the Washington Commanders defense this year: 3rd-least in football.
David Bell has compiled a mere 15.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 25th percentile among WRs.
David Bell has been among the bottom WRs in the league this year, averaging a lowly 17.0 yards per game while checking in at the 18th percentile among WRs.
David Bell has been among the bottom WRs in the NFL at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a lowly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while ranking in the 0th percentile.