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Davante Adams Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 9

Los Angeles Rams vs New Orleans Saints

Davante Adams Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+100/-101).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +109 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Right now, the 4th-most pass-oriented offense in football (64.3% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Los Angeles Rams.

The predictive model expects this game to have the largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 141.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Still weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being predicted in this game) typically cause better passing efficiency, increased TD potential, increased air volume, and reduced ground volume.

Davante Adams has totaled quite a few more air yards this year (116.0 per game) than he did last year (84.0 per game).

Davante Adams's 65.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the best in football: 91st percentile for wide receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's spread indicates an extreme running game script for the Rams, who are a huge favorite by 14 points.

Opposing offenses have averaged 28.6 pass attempts per game against the New Orleans Saints defense this year: 4th-fewest in football.

While Davante Adams has earned 38.6% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be a much smaller piece of Los Angeles's pass game near the goal line in this contest at 29.1%.

In regards to pass-blocking (and the ramifications it has on all air attack stats), the O-line of the Los Angeles Rams ranks as the 2nd-worst in the league this year.

Davante Adams's receiving reliability have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Completion% falling off from 63.1% to 51.3%.

More Davante Adams Player Props

Davante Adams TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 9

Los Angeles Rams vs New Orleans Saints

Davante Adams Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 9