My Account Log Out

reorder

Davante Adams

Davante Adams Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 5

Los Angeles Rams vs San Francisco 49ers

Davante Adams Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+110/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the present time, the 10th-most pass-focused offense in the league (62.0% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Los Angeles Rams.

Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Los Angeles Rams are anticipated by the projections to call 68.9 plays on offense in this game: the 3rd-highest number among all teams this week.

The forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and lower rush volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

Davante Adams has accrued far more air yards this season (108.0 per game) than he did last season (84.0 per game).

Davante Adams's 68.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the best in football: 92nd percentile for wideouts.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 5.5-point advantage, the Rams are favored in this week's contest, implying more of an emphasis on running than their usual game plan.

Opposing QBs teams have been unwilling to test the pass defense of the San Francisco 49ers, averaging the 10th-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 30.0 per game) this year.

While Davante Adams has earned 47.6% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be a much smaller piece of Los Angeles's offense near the end zone in this week's contest at 32.2%.

The Los Angeles offensive line ranks as the 3rd-worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful impact on all passing game stats across the board.

Davante Adams's ball-catching skills have declined this season, with his Adjusted Catch% shrinking from 63.1% to 50.8%.

More Davante Adams Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™