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Davante Adams

Davante Adams Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 4

Los Angeles Rams vs Indianapolis Colts

Davante Adams Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+120/-138).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -144 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -138.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Los Angeles Rams as the 7th-most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 60.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by the model to see 129.7 total plays called: the 3rd-highest number out of all the games this week.

The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (0-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while rush volume may drop-off.

Davante Adams has accumulated a staggering 91.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 92nd percentile when it comes to wideouts.

Davante Adams's 70.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive usage) ranks among the best in the league: 96th percentile for WRs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A rushing game script is implied by the Rams being a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest.

The predictive model expects Davante Adams to be much less involved in his offense's passing attack near the goal line in this week's game (30.3% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (47.1% in games he has played).

The Los Angeles Rams offensive line grades out as the worst in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.

Davante Adams's sure-handedness have declined this year, with his Adjusted Catch% shrinking from 63.1% to 47.7%.

The Colts safeties project as the best unit in the NFL since the start of last season in defending receivers.

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