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Davante Adams

Davante Adams Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 19

Carolina Panthers vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Davante Adams Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-117/+112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -117.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects the Los Angeles Rams to be the 3rd-most pass-oriented team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 64.7% pass rate.
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 2nd-most plays run on the slate this week at 130.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Davante Adams has totaled quite a few more air yards this year (108.0 per game) than he did last year (84.0 per game).
  • Davante Adams slots into the 88th percentile for wide receiver WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive involvement) with a whopping 63.0 mark this year.
  • Davante Adams ranks in the 100th percentile among WRs when it comes to catching touchdowns this year, averaging an outstanding 0.88 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • An extreme rushing game script is suggested by the Rams being a huge 10.5-point favorite in this game.
  • The forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been unwilling to lean on the pass against the Carolina Panthers, totaling the 6th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 29.8 per game) this year.
  • The predictive model expects Davante Adams to be a less important option in his team's air attack near the end zone in this week's game (29.7% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (34.8% in games he has played).
  • Davante Adams's sure-handedness have worsened this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate falling off from 63.1% to 55.3%.

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