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Davante Adams

Davante Adams Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 15

Los Angeles Rams vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Davante Adams Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-170/+138).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -158 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -170.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the Los Angeles Rams as the 3rd-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 62.8% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • The model projects this game to see the 4th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 134.9 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
  • The forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and lower run volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • After accumulating 84.0 air yards per game last season, Davante Adams has been rising this season, now pacing 104.0 per game.
  • Davante Adams has been in the 88th percentile among wide receiver WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive volume) with an astounding 63.6 figure this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Rams are a 5.5-point favorite this week, which points towards a running game script.
  • The 8th-lowest number of plays in football have been called by the Los Angeles Rams this year (a lowly 54.7 per game on average).
  • While Davante Adams has accounted for 34.9% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be much less involved in Los Angeles's passing attack near the end zone in this week's contest at 29.1%.
  • Davante Adams's receiving reliability have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Catch% shrinking from 63.1% to 55.7%.
  • Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 5th-lowest level in the league vs. the Lions defense this year (66.1% Adjusted Completion%).

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