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Davante Adams

Davante Adams Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 14

Arizona Cardinals vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Davante Adams Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-130/+126).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +110 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +126.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the Rams to be the 5th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 60.3% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • The projections expect this game to see the most plays run out of all the games this week at 133.5 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
  • The weather report calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced rush volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Davante Adams has accrued many more air yards this year (108.0 per game) than he did last year (84.0 per game).
  • Davante Adams's 65.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the best in the NFL: 92nd percentile for WRs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 9.5-point advantage, the Rams are a huge favorite in this week's game, indicating much more of an emphasis on running than their standard approach.
  • The Rams have run the 8th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a mere 54.4 plays per game.
  • While Davante Adams has been responsible for 35.0% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be much less involved in Los Angeles's passing attack near the end zone in this week's contest at 29.5%.
  • The Los Angeles Rams offensive line ranks as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a negative impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.
  • Davante Adams's receiving reliability have declined this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate shrinking from 63.1% to 55.0%.

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