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Davante Adams

Davante Adams Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 10

San Francisco 49ers vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Davante Adams Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-111/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -111.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect the Rams to be the 4th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now with a 64.0% pass rate.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the model to have 134.9 offensive plays run: the 2nd-most out of all the games this week.
  • After totaling 84.0 air yards per game last season, Davante Adams has gotten better this season, currently boasting 115.0 per game.
  • Davante Adams's 64.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive usage) grades out among the best in the NFL: 90th percentile for wideouts.
  • With an impressive ratio of 0.80 per game through the air (100th percentile), Davante Adams stands among the best receiving TD-scorers in the league among wideouts this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Rams are a 6-point favorite this week, which points towards a running game script.
  • While Davante Adams has garnered 37.0% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be a less important option in Los Angeles's passing attack near the end zone in this week's game at 28.7%.
  • The Los Angeles Rams O-line grades out as the 4th-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.
  • Davante Adams's 53.4% Adjusted Catch% this year shows a remarkable diminishment in his pass-catching talent over last year's 63.1% mark.

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