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Davante Adams

Davante Adams Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Davante Adams Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-108/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the moment, the 6th-most pass-centric team in the league (63.2% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Los Angeles Rams.
  • Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Rams are forecasted by our trusted projection set to call 68.0 total plays in this game: the 3rd-most on the slate this week.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 39.2 pass attempts per game against the Jaguars defense this year: 5th-most in the league.
  • Our trusted projections expect Davante Adams to accumulate 11.2 targets in this week's game, on balance, ranking him in the 100th percentile among WRs.
  • Davante Adams has been an integral part of his team's pass game, posting a Target Share of 27.1% this year, which ranks him in the 93rd percentile when it comes to wideouts.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 3-point advantage, the Rams are favored in this week's game, indicating more of an emphasis on running than their standard approach.
  • The Los Angeles Rams O-line profiles as the 6th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all passing offense statistics across the board.
  • Davante Adams's receiving talent has tailed off this year, compiling a measly 3.7 adjusted receptions vs 6.1 last year.
  • Davante Adams's 48.5% Adjusted Completion% this year marks a material drop-off in his receiving ability over last year's 63.1% rate.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has yielded the lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (57.5%) vs. wideouts this year (57.5%).

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