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Davante Adams

Davante Adams Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

Los Angeles Rams vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Davante Adams Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-150/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -150.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the present time, the 10th-most pass-focused offense in the league (62.0% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Los Angeles Rams.
  • Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Los Angeles Rams are anticipated by the projections to call 68.9 plays on offense in this game: the 3rd-highest number among all teams this week.
  • The forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and lower rush volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • The leading projections forecast Davante Adams to accumulate 9.9 targets in this game, on balance, placing him in the 98th percentile among wide receivers.
  • Davante Adams's 68.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the best in football: 92nd percentile for wideouts.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 5.5-point advantage, the Rams are favored in this week's contest, implying more of an emphasis on running than their usual game plan.
  • Opposing QBs teams have been unwilling to test the pass defense of the San Francisco 49ers, averaging the 10th-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 30.0 per game) this year.
  • The Los Angeles offensive line ranks as the 3rd-worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful impact on all passing game stats across the board.
  • Davante Adams's 3.5 adjusted receptions per game this year illustrates a remarkable decline in his receiving proficiency over last year's 6.1 figure.
  • Davante Adams's ball-catching skills have declined this season, with his Adjusted Catch% shrinking from 63.1% to 50.8%.

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