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Davante Adams

Davante Adams Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

Philadelphia Eagles vs Los Angeles Rams

Davante Adams Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+115/-128).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -129 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Rams are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Rams to pass on 61.7% of their chances: the 4th-greatest rate on the slate this week.

The leading projections forecast Davante Adams to garner 9.8 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 96th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

Davante Adams has been a key part of his team's pass game, garnering a Target Share of 29.1% since the start of last season, which ranks him in the 97th percentile among wide receivers.

Davante Adams comes in as one of the top wide receivers in the league since the start of last season, averaging a remarkable 6.0 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 95th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Rams to call the 8th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.7 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

Los Angeles's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially inflated (and rushing stats deflated) in light of playing the 3rd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the league. We should be able to count on some regression with windier weather in this week's contest.

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been disinclined to test the pass defense of the Eagles, averaging the 10th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 30.9 per game) since the start of last season.

In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the impact it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Rams ranks as the 4th-worst in the league since the start of last season.

Davante Adams's receiving reliability have diminished this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate shrinking from 63.1% to 50.3%.

More Davante Adams Player Props

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