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Davante Adams

Davante Adams Receptions
Player Prop Week 19

Carolina Panthers vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Davante Adams Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+138/-170).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -138 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -170.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects the Los Angeles Rams to be the 3rd-most pass-oriented team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 64.7% pass rate.
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 2nd-most plays run on the slate this week at 130.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • In this game, Davante Adams is predicted by the projection model to position himself in the 95th percentile among wide receivers with 8.6 targets.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • An extreme rushing game script is suggested by the Rams being a huge 10.5-point favorite in this game.
  • The forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been unwilling to lean on the pass against the Carolina Panthers, totaling the 6th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 29.8 per game) this year.
  • Davante Adams has gone out for fewer passes this season (82.6% Route Participation Rate in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (95.4%).
  • Davante Adams's 3.8 adjusted catches per game this season illustrates a material regression in his receiving talent over last season's 6.1 mark.

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