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Davante Adams

Davante Adams Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Los Angeles Rams vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Davante Adams Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+145/-168).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -180 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -168.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect the Los Angeles Rams to be the 2nd-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 62.4% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • The predictive model expects the Los Angeles Rams to run the 5th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Still weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being forecasted in this game) generally mean increased passing efficiency, increased touchdown potential, increased air attack volume, and lower run volume.
  • The Seattle Seahawks defense has been something of pass funnel this year, allowing opposing offenses to attempt the 2nd-most passes in football (40.4 per game) this year.
  • In this game, Davante Adams is predicted by the projections to land in the 95th percentile among WRs with 9.7 targets.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Rams are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a running game script.
  • Davante Adams has been used less as a potential target this season (85.4% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (95.4%).
  • The Rams offensive line grades out as the 9th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all passing game statistics across the board.
  • Davante Adams's receiving skills have declined this year, compiling just 4.3 adjusted catches compared to 6.1 last year.
  • Davante Adams's sure-handedness have worsened this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate falling off from 63.1% to 55.5%.

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