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Davante Adams

Davante Adams Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

San Francisco 49ers vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Davante Adams Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-133/+119).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -136 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -133.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect the Rams to be the 4th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now with a 64.0% pass rate.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the model to have 134.9 offensive plays run: the 2nd-most out of all the games this week.
  • In this week's contest, Davante Adams is anticipated by the predictive model to place in the 96th percentile among wide receivers with 9.5 targets.
  • Davante Adams has been a key part of his team's offense, earning a Target Share of 26.3% this year, which ranks in the 90th percentile when it comes to WRs.
  • The 49ers cornerbacks rank as the 3rd-worst CB corps in the NFL this year in defending pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Rams are a 6-point favorite this week, which points towards a running game script.
  • The Los Angeles Rams O-line grades out as the 4th-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.
  • Davante Adams's play as a receiver has diminished this season, compiling just 3.7 adjusted receptions compared to 6.1 last season.
  • Davante Adams's 53.4% Adjusted Catch% this year shows a remarkable diminishment in his pass-catching talent over last year's 63.1% mark.

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