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Davante Adams

Davante Adams Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Davante Adams Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 83.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 83.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 83.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the moment, the 6th-most pass-centric team in the league (63.2% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Los Angeles Rams.
  • Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Rams are forecasted by our trusted projection set to call 68.0 total plays in this game: the 3rd-most on the slate this week.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 39.2 pass attempts per game against the Jaguars defense this year: 5th-most in the league.
  • Our trusted projections expect Davante Adams to accumulate 11.2 targets in this week's game, on balance, ranking him in the 100th percentile among WRs.
  • Davante Adams has been an integral part of his team's pass game, posting a Target Share of 27.1% this year, which ranks him in the 93rd percentile when it comes to wideouts.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 3-point advantage, the Rams are favored in this week's game, indicating more of an emphasis on running than their standard approach.
  • The Los Angeles Rams O-line profiles as the 6th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all passing offense statistics across the board.
  • Davante Adams's 58.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this year marks a material drop-off in his receiving ability over last year's 79.0 rate.
  • Davante Adams's 48.5% Adjusted Completion% this year marks a material drop-off in his receiving ability over last year's 63.1% rate.
  • Davante Adams's ability to generate extra yardage has diminished this year, compiling a measly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 5.41 mark last year.

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