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Davante Adams

Davante Adams Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Los Angeles Rams vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Davante Adams Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 65.5 (-111/-111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 61.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 65.5 @ -111.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the Los Angeles Rams as the 3rd-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 62.8% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • The model projects this game to see the 4th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 134.9 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
  • The forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and lower run volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • In this contest, Davante Adams is forecasted by the projection model to land in the 96th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 9.5 targets.
  • After accumulating 84.0 air yards per game last season, Davante Adams has been rising this season, now pacing 104.0 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Rams are a 5.5-point favorite this week, which points towards a running game script.
  • The 8th-lowest number of plays in football have been called by the Los Angeles Rams this year (a lowly 54.7 per game on average).
  • Davante Adams's 84.7% Route% this season signifies a material decline in his passing attack volume over last season's 95.4% figure.
  • Davante Adams has notched substantially fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (59.0) this year than he did last year (79.0).
  • Davante Adams's receiving reliability have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Catch% shrinking from 63.1% to 55.7%.

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